Since GST’s introduction, there have been minimal rate hikes on harmful products like tobacco and sugar-sweetened beverages, making them more affordable. The GoM’s proposal to raise GST from 28% to 35% is a positive step towards curbing consumption.
Facts and Figures:India is the second-largest consumer of tobacco globally, with 28.6% of adults above 15 years and 8.5% of students aged 13 to 15 years using tobacco in some form.Tobacco is a leading risk factor for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and causes over 3,500 daily deaths in India. The annual economic burden of tobacco use and second-hand smoke was estimated at ₹2,340 billion in 2017, or 1.4% of GDP—far exceeding the ₹538 billion collected annually in tobacco tax revenue. |
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Potential Impact of Proposed GST Rate Hike
The proposed GST hike to 35% is expected to:
- Tobacco Consumption Impact:
- Beedis: A 5.5% increase in price is projected to reduce consumption by 5% while increasing revenue by 18.6%.
- Cigarettes: Prices would rise by 3.9%, leading to a 1.3% decline in consumption and a 6.4% revenue boost.
- Smokeless Tobacco: A 3% price increase could decrease consumption by 2.7% and raise revenue by 1.9%.
- These changes, if implemented, could collectively generate an additional ₹43 billion annually.
- Sugar-sweetened beverages: These are a major contributor to obesity, diabetes, and other non-communicable diseases (NCDs). India’s rising burden of NCDs has significant implications for healthcare costs and workforce productivity.
- Potential Benefits of GST Rate Increase
- Discourage excessive consumption, particularly among younger populations.
- Align with India’s broader public health objectives by addressing the root causes of diet-related illnesses.
- Reinforce global trends in using fiscal policies to combat obesity and diabetes.
Need for a Higher Tax Rate
- The GoM’s recommendation to raise GST rates to 35% is a positive step but falls short of the 40% peak rate allowed under GST law.
- A 40% rate would have a greater impact, leading to sharper price increases, larger consumption reductions, and an additional ₹72 billion in revenue.
- It could also reduce the disparity in taxes across tobacco products and bring the tax structure closer to a more equitable distribution. Otherwise, people may shift to products with lower taxes.
- The World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC), to which India is a signatory, recommends that all tobacco products be taxed comparably to prevent substitution between them.
Currently, the tax burden on tobacco products is uneven:Beedis: Taxes account for 22% of the retail price.Cigarettes: Taxes account for 49.5%.Smokeless Tobacco: Taxes account for 64%. |
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Associated Concerns
Potential for Increased Smuggling and Black Market Activity: The tobacco industry expresses concerns about increased illicit trade due to higher taxes.
- However, evidence, including from India, shows that tax hikes have minimal impact on illicit trade.
- Factors such as tax administration quality, regulatory frameworks, government commitment, governance strength, social acceptance, and informal distribution networks play a far more significant role in determining the scale of illicit markets.
Way Forward
1. Adopt a Mixed Tax Structure
- Pair ad valorem GST rates with specific excise taxes for better effectiveness in reducing consumption.
- Ad valorem taxes are tied to product prices and can be manipulated by the industry. Specific excise duties, which are based on quantity, offer a more stable and impactful means to discourage usage.
- Raising excise taxes alongside GST rates would create a balanced taxation model, aligning with global best practices.
2. Increase GST Rates to 40%
- The GST Council should consider increasing the rates for tobacco and sugar-sweetened beverages to the peak 40% rate allowed under GST law.
- This would lead to sharper price increases, reduce consumption significantly, and generate higher revenue.
3. Implement Targeted Excise Taxes for Sugar-Sweetened Beverages
- Introduce a specific excise tax on sugar-sweetened beverages in addition to the GST hike.
- This would strengthen the health focus by directly targeting products linked to obesity, diabetes, and other non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
- It would also complement India’s broader public health goals.
5. Focus on Revenue Utilization for Public Health
- Direct a portion of the additional revenue from higher taxes toward funding public health initiatives.
- Invest in programs for NCD prevention, health education, and treatment infrastructure.
- This would amplify the long-term benefits of the tax reforms by addressing health impacts comprehensively.
6. Periodic Tax Reviews and Adjustments
- Establish a mechanism for regular reviews of GST and excise taxes on harmful products.
- Ensure that taxation keeps pace with inflation and changing consumption patterns.
- Guard against the industry’s ability to manipulate product prices or shift the tax burden.
Conclusion
Steps like raising the GST on tobacco and sugar-sweetened beverages is a positive move to curb consumption and improve public health. However, supplementing this with specific excise taxes would enhance effectiveness, reduce disparities, and generate greater revenue.
Q. Critically analyse the impact of higher GST rates on the consumption patterns of tobacco products and sugar-sweetened beverages. To what extent can taxation be effective in addressing related public health issues? (15 M, 250 words) |
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